Issa Won't Support Tax Reform Bill In Its Current Form
November 8, 2017 1:43 p.m.
Jason Roe, Republican campaign consultant and founder, Roe Strategic
Related Story: Issa Won't Support Tax Reform Bill In Its Current Form
Republicans work on the tax cuts which is on a fast track to come to a vote before Thanksgiving. There will be at least one Republican who would not be voting for the bill. Darrell ISA says he will not support the bill in the current form. Joining me is Cindy go-based campaign consultant and founder. Jason, welcome back.Thank you for having me.It is been reported that President Trump and Congress is counting heavily on his tax bill passing said they have a significant legislative victory going into the 2018 election cycle. Do they need the vote?I think that remains to be seen. There will be a count and there is time to put something on the floor and figure out where we are. One reason that the Republicans have been guarded in committing on the legislation, they voted for the original house passage is most of them are experienced legislators, even that younger members of the delegationBecame the legislature. They understand the bill hits the house and it is not the final product. When it comes to the reelection, they will be judged based on what they voted on in the final product expect Darrell issued a similar statement about not being prepared to support the house Obamacare bill which he but for, is this a significant move expert I think it is telegraphing the problems that this bill could face, particularly in high tax states like California. There could be political benefit for Republicans with the challenges on the state and local tax. That is that it highlights how high the taxes are at the state level. That is something that we are so used to the high cost of living and high taxes, we are desensitized just how high those things are. This may help to turn a spotlight on Sacramento in the enormous tax burden that Californians shoulder.You mentioned the fact that the tax bill in Washington as it stands now calls for the elimination of deductions for state and local taxes and puts a cap on mortgage interest deductions. Those are to hit the states like New York and California hard. While several East Coast Republicans are taking a stand against those provisions, I understand I set is the only Republican to do so. Why is that expect that is a good question. I entertained why they went one way or a different way. You know, part of it could be that the majority leader is in California. Probably, they have insight and maybe even comfort from Kevin being from California. I was in Washington last week. I had a conversation with the senior member of the Ways and Means committee committee. I brought up not from a political standpoint but a California taxpayer, you know, am I going to get hit on this. He said do not worry. We are going to fix it. I think within the house Republican covenants, there are insurances coming from the leadership. They will fix these problems. That is what a lot of the delegation is looking at, they believe the leadership will make sure that the problems that is an impediment will be resolved.Do you think the bill can pass if it continues to eliminate that deduction for taxes?It makes it more difficult. Even among the seven or so Republicans in California that are in target races, I think a few will stand strong, no matter what the outcome is. The routing is, they need the tax reform bill more than they need to protect California taxpayers. Congressional Republicans must have a tax bill passed going into the 2018 election two has something to run on and demonstrate they can govern. I think whether Donald Trump can take credit for the economy right now are not, the economy is going well. I think we could be in an environment with economic indicators and getting a tax bill done that could probably generate more economic activity. Going into 2010, voters are saying he is not my cup of tea but the things that impact my life are going well. I will continue on the path that we are on.What you are saying is vulnerable Republicans like representative ISA is between a rock and a hard place. If he supports the tax bill which could hear his constituents, it may hurt him in the election but if the tax bill does not pass, it may also hurt him.That is a difficult spot to be in. You know, at the end of the day, when you have that choice, you do the right thing. You follow your conscience. I do think that most, if not all of the delegation will support final product. I do believe while you might not have the state and local tax deduction situation that we have today, you will not have something in the current form with what we saw coming out of the house.I have to ask you about the victory by Democrats, in the governor raise and in Virginia and New Jersey. As a GOP strategist, what does that indicate the Republican has to do now?The take away is not an Gillespie did not win the governor raise. The conventional wisdom that it would be difficult for him. To come close is a moral victory. The concerns are valid. It is not just what happened in Virginia but we lost control of the Washington and state that. We lost mayoral races in the South and the East. There are warning signs that people need to understand going down the path that we are going and this unrestrained pro-trump enthusiasm, you know, it might work in red states but it does not work in swing seats and swing states. I think this may be constructive for national Republicans to recalibrate how we go into the 2018 elections and how we conduct ourselves as candidates and people that are governing as governors.I have been speaking with Jason. Thank you.