Medical researchers are meeting this week in New Orleans to discuss the health effects of the ongoing oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But most of the discussion is about what isn't known.
The workshop was pulled together in a matter of days by the Institute of Medicine, a prestigious independent body chartered by Congress. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius asked for the review.
Even though oil spills are fairly common, scientists at the two-day workshop say there's surprisingly little research on how they affect human health.
Since the 1960s, one researcher notes, there have been more than 30 major oil spills, nearly all of them involving shipwrecked tankers. But only about a quarter of them have been studied for toxic effects on humans. And the studies that have been done are often small and without comparison between groups of oil-exposed and unexposed people. In addition, none has so far looked at long-term consequences of exposure, such as cancer incidence.
At the end of a long day of questions and answers on what's known about the effects of oil spills on humans, activist John Hosey pretty much summed up the situation.
"The answers that people are getting are much like the oil coming out of the floor of the ocean," Hosey told the assembled scientists. "There's a lot of it coming up, but none of it's worth very much." Hosey is a clergyman with the Mississippi Interfaith Disaster Task Force.
Concern About Long-Term Problems
None of the distinguished researchers in the audience disagreed with his assessment.
That doesn't mean there's consensus on what evidence there is. Dr. Scott Barnhart of the University of Washington is on the side that doubts there's much reason to worry.
It's true, Barnhart says, that cleanup workers exposed to crude oil often suffer acute effects — stinging eyes, rashes, nausea, dizziness, headaches, coughs and other respiratory symptoms.
But Barnhart is not unduly concerned. "Any of these effects I don't think we would expect to be permanent," he says. "We would expect these to be reversible."
Barnhart also says there's no convincing evidence that people exposed to crude oil have more serious long-term problems, such as cancer.
"We should not have workers, volunteers, anybody exposed to significant quantities of crude oil," he says. "I mean, these [exposures] should be managed and avoided. At the same time, you know, the risk for particular carcinogens is probably quite small."
The 'Black Tides' Of Galicia
Probably the best study on that question was done by Blanca Laffon and her colleagues at the University of A Coruna in Spain, following the 2002 wreck of the tanker Prestige. The spill unleashed three "black tides" on the shores of Galicia, made up, Laffon says, of "a very complex mixture of chemicals — very viscous and water-insoluble."
The Spanish group tested several hundred cleanup workers, both professionals and volunteers, for evidence of DNA damage in the nuclei of their cells. The results were compared with similar people who were not exposed to the oil.
Laffon says exposure to oil did induce DNA damage that was greater in those with more exposure. DNA damage can be the first step along the path to cancer. However, when the research subjects were tested several months ago, the damage was repaired. "It did not become fixed as chromosomal damage," Laffon says, referring to more worrisome evidence of genetic toxicity.
The researchers are following up with more tests conducted seven years after the oil exposure.
But concern about oil toxicity goes beyond cleanup workers. In shoreline communities where spilled oil washes up, other people can get exposed, too. And Dr. Brenda Eskenazi of the University of California at Berkeley, who studies children, is far from convinced that oil spills pose no threat.
"Children are different," Eskenazi says. "They're not little adults. They're also less efficient at detoxifying and metabolizing chemicals."
Playing It Safe
Eskenazi says mouse studies suggest the toxins in oil can cause lasting genetic damage that can be passed down from one generation to another.
She says if she were pregnant and living in a Gulf community affected by the current oil spill, she would probably avoid eating fish — even though she acknowledges that there has been no evidence that contaminated fish have made it to market.
Her inclination, she says, "is based on a gut feeling, not data — and whether one can trust the authorities."
But while there's a lot of uncertainty about the effects of the thousands of chemicals in crude oil on physical health, there's plenty of evidence about the toll it takes on mental health.
Dr. Howard Osofsky of Louisiana State University says people in the area are already showing the stresses and strains of living with the effects of the spill on their livelihoods and their way of life.
"One of our parish leaders the other day … said, 'Howard, this is the tip of the iceberg,' " Osofsky says. "We're seeing already an increase in suspiciousness, arguing, domestic violence. We're having reports from drug courts. We're already having reports of increased drinking, anxiety, anger and avoidance."
This is entirely consistent with what happened in 1989 when the Exxon Valdez tanker ran aground in Alaska. Lawrence Palinkas of the University of Southern California studied the aftereffects of that disaster on 22 communities in Alaska. He says the costs were incalculable.
Community And Individual Costs
"Fragmented families, failed marriages, community residents who no longer speak to each other or collaborate in community activities," Palinkas says. It's all part of the strong emotions generated by the disaster — including resentments over friends and family members who profited from it by working in the cleanup.
These community and individual costs "have to be taken into consideration when it comes to mitigating the consequences of oil spills," Palinkas says — although he acknowledges that in the orgy of litigation that followed the Exxon Valdez disaster, the courts ultimately rejected many such claims as "unquantifiable."
Palinkas says the Exxon Valdez aftermath showed that oil spills do affect the rate of physical illness — although not in the directly toxic way that many people imagine.
People in communities where the oil fouled the beaches had much higher incidence of post-traumatic stress disorder, depression and anxiety. And that mental stress, Palinkas says, translated into higher rates of heart attacks, high blood pressure, diabetes, respiratory disorders and other physical illnesses.
