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Report: State Unemployment Will Fall Below 10 Percent In Mid 2013

Aired 8/21/12 on KPBS News.

An economic forecast out today says California’s unemployment rate will drop to single digits this time next year, sooner than originally predicted.

An economic forecast out today says California’s unemployment rate will drop to single digits this time next year, sooner than originally predicted. Steve Milne reports.

Right now, California’s jobless rate is 10.7 percent. It peaked at 12.5 percent in 2010. The rate’s been inching down ever since.

Economist Jeff Michael is with the Business Forecasting Center at University of the Pacific in Stockton. “We see (the) unemployment rate going into single digits in mid-2013 and in the past we’ve been saying the end of 2013," said Michael.

He attributes the improved forecast to better than expected job growth. California is now outperforming the rest of the country when it comes to job creation with “health services” being one of the leading job sectors. “It did really well in the recession compared to everything else. You know, everything else was declining. We don’t see any significant variation from that pattern going forward," said Michael.

He says overall job growth in the state will rise at a gradual pace 1.8% percent for the next year-and-a-half with the unemployment rate falling below 9 percent in 2014 and below 8 percent the following year.

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