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Study: Most Adults Arrested In San Diego County Not On Probation

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Study: Most Adults Arrested In San Diego County Not On Probation

Above: Contrary to what some had feared, it looks like prison realignment has not had a significant impact on arrest rates in San Diego County.

Contrary to what some had feared, it looks like prison realignment has not had a significant impact on arrest rates in San Diego County.

A new study by the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) shows that 12 percent of adult arrests in 2012 involved someone on probation. That's up just two percent from 2008.

The report finds that realigned offenders are not being arrested at higher rates than traditional offenders. In fact, the arrest rate for so-called Mandatory Supervision offenders—those sentenced to serve a prison term in county jail—and the traditional population is identical at 22 percent.

But there's a caveat when it comes to Post-Release Community Supervision (PRCS) offenders, those who served a prison sentence for non-violent, non-serious felonies. They have a much higher re-arrest rate. The re-arrest rate for PRCS offenders while under supervision is 36 percent.

“When we analyzed the data, it was fairly consistent across the board that those assessed as low-risk are least likely to be re-arrested and those assessed as high-risk are most likely to be re-arrested, regardless of whether they are a realigned offender or not,” said Dr. Cynthia Burke, SANDAG Director of Criminal Justice Research.

Prison realignment shifted offenders from the state to the county in 2011 to reduce prison overcrowding.

Comments

Avatar for user 'Prosecutor'

Prosecutor | May 24, 2014 at 8 a.m. ― 3 months, 1 week ago

SANDAG has a way of sugar coating data. One is reminded of the Final Report on the SB 618 program instituted by DA Bonnie Dumanis. That report talked up and down about statistics, but in the final analysis it revealed that the participants, in what was basically a social welfare program for felons, had a higher rate of recidivism than non-participants. In this new report the bottom line is that AB 109 is resulting in higher rates of recidivism.

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