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DeMaio Leads, Filner Second In Latest Mayoral Race Poll

Poll results for the race for San Diego Mayor spanning the last 8 months of t...

Credit: 10News/SurveyUSA

Above: Poll results for the race for San Diego Mayor spanning the last 8 months of the campaign.

If a primary election was held on Thursday, three of the mayoral candidates could advance to a general election in November and Proposition B on pension reform would pass, according to the latest 10News/SurveyUSA poll results.

If a primary election for San Diego Mayor was held on Thursday, three of the candidates would have the potential to advance to a general election in November, according to the latest 10News Poll results.

Special Feature San Diego Mayor's Race

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Of 542 actual and likely voters polled on Thursday, City Council Member Carl DeMaio would get 31 percent of the vote, Congressman Bob Filner would receive 28 percent and State Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher would get 23 percent.

Mesa College political science professor Carl Luna said both DeMaio and Filner have been hitting Fletcher hard recently.

"Carl DeMaio doesn’t want to have to face him in a runoff in November," Luna said. "Bob Filner doesn’t want to edge him out for second place, so both are dumping a ton of money to make Fletcher look bad."

If no candidate wins a majority of the vote, the top two will move on to the November election.

Compared to an identical poll that was released 17 days ago, DeMaio is flat, Filner is up 7 percentage points and Fletcher is up 2.

Early voting began on May 7. Among the 28 percent of polled voters who said they have already voted, DeMaio has 36 percent, Filner has 31 percent and Fletcher has 16 percent.

Among the 72 percent who said they have not yet voted but are certain to do so on or before June 5, DeMaio has 29 percent and Filner and Fletcher each have 26 percent.

The question asked was, "If the primary election for San Diego mayor were today, who would you vote for? Carl DeMaio? Bonnie Dumanis? Bob Filner? Nathan Fletcher? Or some other candidate?"


31% Carl DeMaio

11% Bonnie Dumanis

28% Bob Filner

23% Nathan Fletcher

3% Other

4% Undecided

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Of 542 actual and likely voters polled on Thursday, 57 percent would vote for Proposition B to replace pensions for new city employees with 401(k)-style retirement plans. Twenty-one percent would vote no and 22 percent are not certain.

The question asked was, "On Proposition B, which would replace pensions with 401(k)-style plans for most newly hired city employees, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?"


57% Yes

21% No

22% Not Certain

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%

Channel 10 is a media partner with KPBS.

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